Stay up-to-date with the current investment and macroeconomic issues at ClearBridge Investments. We provide analyses of the themes and trends which lie at the heart of your investment challenges.
Considering the timeline from initial rate hike to contraction, the horizon for a recession could be between mid-2023 and mid-2024.
More...2Q23 Commentary: The second half could see a tug of war between market expectations for a soft landing and more cautious economic forecasts.
More...Despite continued strong headline numbers suggesting labor market resilience, we believe an upward trend in initial jobless claims signals weakness ahead.
More...Infrastructure’s focus on cash flows and underlying earnings make it a prudent investment as economic conditions deteriorate and a recession looms.
More...The speed with which March’s bank crisis unfolded illustrated the need for both pre-emptive and proactive approaches to risk management.
More...Listen to Jeff Schulze discuss the likelihood of a recession in the U.S., detail factors contributing to inflation, and outline the implications of these developments for investors.
More...The ClearBridge Recession Risk Dashboard saw three negative signal changes this month in Truck Shipments, Jobless Claims and Job Sentiment, pushing it deeper into red or recessionary territory and suggesting a significant downshift in the economy.
More...A compendium of our recent best thinking on the impact of ESG integration and engagement, ClearBridge Investments' 2023 Stewardship Report is an index to topics that will dominate investment conversations in the months and years ahead.
More...Bank failures in March marked the first lagged effect from the Fed’s aggressive tightening cycle. Broader risks may materialise later this year as tighter lending standards reduce credit availability, weighing on GDP growth.
More...In both short-term and long-term scenarios, the effect of the changes in macro variables on infrastructure returns is positive in most cases.
More...Irrespective of what the Fed ultimately decides, it seems probable that lending standards will tighten further meaning less access to credit for borrowers and a higher cost of capital, resulting in slower economic growth.
More...We continue to believe a recession is more likely than a soft landing, given many of these data points are lagging or coincident in nature.
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