Perspectives

Stay up-to-date with the current investment and macroeconomic issues at ClearBridge Investments. We provide analyses of the themes and trends which lie at the heart of your investment challenges.

Anatomy of a Recession
AOR Update: When To Expect A Recession?

AOR Update: When To Expect A Recession?

Considering the timeline from initial rate hike to contraction, the horizon for a recession could be between mid-2023 and mid-2024.

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Anatomy of a Recession
The Long View: Who's Right?

The Long View: Who's Right?

2Q23 Commentary: The second half could see a tug of war between market expectations for a soft landing and more cautious economic forecasts.

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Anatomy of a Recession
AOR Update: Labor Market Cracks Emerging

AOR Update: Labor Market Cracks Emerging

Despite continued strong headline numbers suggesting labor market resilience, we believe an upward trend in initial jobless claims signals weakness ahead.

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Infrastructure Insights
The Prudence of Infrastructure in a Recession

The Prudence of Infrastructure in a Recession

Infrastructure’s focus on cash flows and underlying earnings make it a prudent investment as economic conditions deteriorate and a recession looms.

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Equity Insights
Preparing, Persisting Through a Bank Crisis

Preparing, Persisting Through a Bank Crisis

The speed with which March’s bank crisis unfolded illustrated the need for both pre-emptive and proactive approaches to risk management.

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Anatomy of a Recession Video
U.S. Recession Likelihood in 2023

U.S. Recession Likelihood in 2023

Listen to Jeff Schulze discuss the likelihood of a recession in the U.S., detail factors contributing to inflation, and outline the implications of these developments for investors.

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Anatomy of a Recession
AOR Update: The Dominoes Are Falling

AOR Update: The Dominoes Are Falling

The ClearBridge Recession Risk Dashboard saw three negative signal changes this month in Truck Shipments, Jobless Claims and Job Sentiment, pushing it deeper into red or recessionary territory and suggesting a significant downshift in the economy.

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Responsible Investing
ClearBridge Investments 2023 Stewardship Report

ClearBridge Investments 2023 Stewardship Report

A compendium of our recent best thinking on the impact of ESG integration and engagement, ClearBridge Investments' 2023 Stewardship Report is an index to topics that will dominate investment conversations in the months and years ahead.

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Anatomy of a Recession
The Long View: They're Here!

The Long View: They're Here!

Bank failures in March marked the first lagged effect from the Fed’s aggressive tightening cycle. Broader risks may materialise later this year as tighter lending standards reduce credit availability, weighing on GDP growth.

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Infrastructure Insights
Testing Infrastructure's Resilience Amid Heightened Uncertainties

Testing Infrastructure's Resilience Amid Heightened Uncertainties

In both short-term and long-term scenarios, the effect of the changes in macro variables on infrastructure returns is positive in most cases.

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Anatomy of a Recession
AOR Update: Bank Crisis Recalibrates the Fed's Path

AOR Update: Bank Crisis Recalibrates the Fed's Path

Irrespective of what the Fed ultimately decides, it seems probable that lending standards will tighten further meaning less access to credit for borrowers and a higher cost of capital, resulting in slower economic growth. 

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Anatomy of a Recession
AOR Update: Soft Landing Head Fake or the Real McCoy?

AOR Update: Soft Landing Head Fake or the Real McCoy?

We continue to believe a recession is more likely than a soft landing, given many of these data points are lagging or coincident in nature.

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